Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Governance through Milieu

There's been a lot of talk about the role of science fiction in imagining future scenarios, specifically what it has succeeded in predicting, what it has failed to anticipate, and what directions it might yet take. It seems almost inevitable that many researchers, when imagining the impact their research may have on new technologies and the structure of society, participate in this process to some degree.

Jennifer Gabrys describes the potential impact of her research in a 2014 paper titled "Programming Environments: Environmentality and Citizen Sensing in the Smart City" in which she utilizes the "governance through milieu" concept of Michel Foucault. But what is that? "Biopolitics 2.0," as she terms her particular version, is less about governing individuals or populations and more about establishing environmental conditions in which responsive modes of behavior can emerge. Foucauldian governance through milieu is continually in process, and unfolds, materializes, or fails in unexpected ways, as human and more-than-human entanglements inevitably emerge.
“Using the idea of “governance through milieu,” Michel Foucault tried to capture those forms of steering and control which did not seek to influence individuals as units, but rather focused on their “environment.” Here the environment referred to systems of relations, which these individuals were embedded in and functionally dependent upon. In doing this, Foucault himself borrowed the concept “milieu” from Georges Canguilhem. According to Canguilhem, the contemporary notion of milieu refers to relationality itself, where it is impossible to separate the object from its environment.

“Since the 1980s, Foucault's idea of government through milieu inspired several influential research agendas: Foucauldian scholars historicized colonial attempts to use different milieus, or complex material and institutional infrastructures, to control at a distance those colonial subjects who were deemed unable to reflexively govern themselves. Urban sociologists and media theorists focused on infrastructural milieus’ effects on social and political practices. Environmental sociologists and historians created a new term, “environmentality,” to analyze the emerging global climate governance. While these government-through-milieu studies developed in disparate fields, they share a focus on the governmental effects of different types of material milieus, be they urban architecture, roads or digital networks.”
It is very difficult to merely act, or persuade others to act, regardless of how nuanced one's physical understanding of Earth systems may be, or how noble, in intention, one's appeal to a sense of interbeing or humanistic values may be. Instead it may be more fruitful to create an environment, a milieu, in which action can take root and from which it emerges. When behavioral therapists attempt to change individual habits, one of the most effective strategies (among others) is to prevent the problematic situation from occurring to begin with by taking steps to separate a person from the triggering conditions and replace those conditions with healthier alternatives. (Or perversely, make them more available, if addiction and maladaptation is one's goal.)

A case could be made that we are unable to effectively govern ourselves under the social conditions that are all too common today. The direct route of appealing to reason cannot succeed so long as the wider milieu, the environment, in which these appeals are made isn't addressed. A seed cannot take root and grow if it isn't planted under the right conditions. Likewise, citizens under the sway of nationalist propaganda, xenophobic fears, and struggling under inequitable social conditions, cannot easily be persuaded to act in their best interest or prioritize the issues that affect them most. Explorations of biopolitics and "governance through milieu," as understood by Foucault (and Nikita Moiseev, among others) may help to address this situation.

The first observation is that when conditions are bad, people are less receptive to rational arguments, experience more internal conflict, and have increased difficulty with self organization. The corollary is that good government is more likely to emerge from a healthy environment, this particularly applies to the educational and intellectual conditions of a society, but more broadly includes many factors. If these conclusions are true, then if we want to persuade rational action on issues of concern, appealing to traditional notions of agency, whether individual or collective, is entirely inadequate. Instead of seeking to influence individuals, we must shift the focus to our environment, the systems of relations (both physical and social) which we are embedded in and functionally dependent upon.

Tim O'Reilly has been advancing the notion of "government as platform", or "Gov 2.0". He is considered the most enthusiastic promoter of algorithmic regulation (though Rahwan and Pentland may have taken that title lately), which is the modification of government policies via open data feedback. There's certainly plenty of curiosity, and skepticism, regarding this idea. Now with human computation and cyber-physical-social systems, the notion of environmentality has been expanded greatly. Shifting the point of intervention from the agent to the environmental systems of relations is a framing strategy that hasn't been utilized as widely as it might be. Maybe Gabrys' Biopolitics 2.0 deserves closer attention.

Just as for Heidegger "technicity" gets rid of the idea that some entity is the ground of all being, for Foucault biopower reveals the irrelevance of the sovereign state as the source of political power. But whereas the social understanding of technicity is well advanced, this is not the case with biopower. As Foucault puts it: "In political thought and analysis, we still have not cut off the head of the king." Since all forms of power are bottom-up, embodied in the style of everyday practices, the understanding of power as emanating from the sovereign or the state is incorrect. What Foucault offers instead is "a critical philosophy that seeks the conditions and the indefinite possibilities of... transforming ourselves." (Dreyfus) The implications of this Foucaultian notion of power for the structure of society could be as transformative as technicity has been for material culture and the new possibilities it created.

Postscript(s):

1. The way we exercise power has resulted in exceeding several planetary boundaries. Consequently we’ll need to either reconceive our notions of “power,” or our notions of “we,” or both. Cultural posthumanism examines and questions notions of who we are, that is to say, what "human" and "human nature” mean. And as a result of this process, power is inevitably re-examined as well. It may be that one cannot effectively address the Anthropocene without productively engaging with posthumanism.

2. The "extinction rebellion" demonstrations of mid to late 2018 are the sort of thing one should expect, very appropriate really - a rejection of the notion that humans have a right to destroy nature, which is something that is quite plain to see if one just bothers to look. We are not the center of this world, nor the measure of all things. This is a rebellion against “Vitruvian man”, that iconic image and the emblem of Humanism as a doctrine that combines the biological, discursive and moral expansion of human capabilities into an idea of teleologically ordained, rational progress. Faith in the unique, self-regulating and intrinsically moral powers of human reason forms an integral part of this high-humanistic creed, which was essentially predicated on eighteenth- and nineteenth-century renditions of classical Antiquity and Italian Renaissance ideals.” As Bert Olivier writes, "it is no surprise that since the end of the Second World War humanism has been subjected to one critique after the other, emanating from feminism, postcolonial studies, anti-racism, anti-nuclear, pacifist and animal rights movements, among others."

3. “The conventional Humanities suffer from a lack of adequate concepts to… position subjectivity in a continuum with the totality of things.” (Braidotti 2017) This is critical to understanding the approach of posthumanism, but it is not new in and of itself. According to philosopher Walter Benesch, the Pre-Socratic philosopher Anaxagoras* of Clazomenae (500 BC) asserted that the world of objects was a continuum of all things in all things. Every thing had some of every other thing in it… nothing can ever be completely separated, that is, cut off from everything else. We live in systems that live in us… the human in nature and nature in the human. (Benesch 1997) Surely Anaxagoras recognized the same difficulties that posthumanists do today.

Benesch studied Eastern philosophy as well as being familiar with early Greek philosophy; the language of continua is shared both by Anaxagoras (and related schools of thought), and Chinese Taoists and Neo-Confucians. The similarities between these and posthumanism are impossible to ignore. Now contrast this with the atomistic (particle) view of reality espoused by another Pre-Socratic, Democritus of Abdera (460 BC), which defines our contemporary perspective of the world and hence our notions of what it means to be human. As Benesch concluded, “These Pre-Socratic poles of ‘essence as continuum’ versus ‘essence as particle’… are the source of our definitions, our knowledge, and our values.” Notice, this is exactly what posthumanists like Braidotti are seeking to uncover and highlight. It is a return to an ancient debate.

*Born on the coast of present-day Turkey, Anaxagoras lived in Athens for some thirty years until he was indicted on the charge of impiety and sentenced to death. He left Athens and spent his remaining years in exile. His materialistic beliefs and teachings were based on three principles of metaphysics:
No Becoming or Passing-Away
Everything is in Everything
No Smallest or Largest

4. "In Mahayana thought, particularly Huayan, interdependent causality is understood as an all-embracing web of causal relations defining reality: to say that something is real is to say that it participates in causal relations with everything else that can be said to be real. As opposed to a linear conception of causality, this is a "holographic" model in which at every moment, everything is, in some sense, simultaneously the cause and effect of everything else. This approach acknowledges reality, but not fundamental reality, and acknowledges causality, but not first cause, thus avoiding the kind of ontological commitment which Buddhism generally takes to be the most proximate cause of suffering.

A key doctrine of Huayan is the mutual containment and interpenetration of all phenomena or "perfect interfusion." This includes the views that "practicing one teaching is practicing all teachings." This is not only an effective slogan to encourage people to practice, but more importantly a kind of pragmatic value of perfect interfusion. [Reminds me of Thich Nhat Hanh’s “interbeing,” probably not coincidental.]

Sources:
Imre Hamar, "Reflecting Mirrors: Perspectives on Huayan Buddhism" (2007)
Alan Fox, "The Practice of Huayan Buddhism" (2015)

5. In an interview with Carl Jung, which aired on the BBC televison series "Face to Face" in 1959, John Freeman asked Jung about whether he believed a third world war was imminent. Keep in mind that this was during the climate of the then ongoing Cold War. Jung replied, in part:

"We need more understanding of human nature, because the only real danger that exists is man himself. He is the great danger, and we are pitifully unaware of it. We know nothing of man, far too little. His psyche should be studied, because we are the origin of all coming evil." 

Fast forward 57 years, and we have Reza Negarasanti, an Iranian philosopher and writer. Steven Craig Hickman writes: "Negarestani’s project brings the Enlightenment mission of Kant to its logical conclusion in the erasure of the human(istic) world view, and of the human as such. Instead, as he’ll remind us, we are now heading to an open field of possibilities..." As Cary Wolfe says, "this thing we call “human” is bound up with all sorts of forces and factors that aren’t “human” at all." What's more, per David Roden, humans have no "essence" to begin with anyway. So what are we to make of Jung's injunction to study human nature? 

Negarestani said: "The practical elaboration of making a commitment to humanity is inhumanism." It should be noted at the outset that his use of the term "inhuman" is very different from the conventional meaning, whose synonym is unethical or immoral. Instead, it denotes more of an "alterity," the state of being other or different; otherness. Jung wrote at length about the need to confront difficulties of similar scale. And Jung's fascination with alchemy and its symbolism of opposites means that he would likely understand Negarestani's comment instantly. We are obliged to pursue a line of reasoning to its conclusion, no matter where it may lead us. And as we approach a clearer understanding of human nature, it evaporates before us, dissolving into various inhuman forces and factors, and prompts a reconceptualization in which the figure of the "human" appears, at first glimpse, unrecognizable. But I would suggest it is far more real.

6.  Within the field of Posthuman Studies, Hayles' “How We Became Posthuman” is considered "the key text which brought posthumanism to broad international attention.” And it has to be among the best books, perhaps the best, on this topic I have read, certainly from a foundational perspective. The fact that it was published in 1999 and we still haven’t fully internalized the wide ranging implications of these insights speaks volumes. Hayles succinctly identifies a key problem with our conventional understanding of agents, autonomy, subjectivity, and therefore any project (such as humanism) for which these are foundational concepts. This is the reason Foucault and Jennifer Gabrys lured me in. Hayles writes:
“Moreover, the idea of the feedback loop implies that the boundaries of the autonomous subject are up for grabs, since feedback loops can flow not only within the subject but also between the subject and the environment. From Norbert Wiener on, the flow of information through feedback loops has been associated with the deconstruction of the liberal humanist subject, the version of the "human" with which I will be concerned.”

“If my nightmare is a culture inhabited by posthumans who regard their bodies as fashion accessories rather than the ground of being, my dream is a version of the posthuman that embraces the possibilities of information technologies without being seduced by fantasies of unlimited power and disembodied immortality, that recognizes and celebrates finitude as a condition of human being, and that understands human life is embedded in a material world of great complexity, one on which we depend for our continued survival.”

“In the posthuman view conscious agency has never been "in control." In fact, the very illusion of control bespeaks a fundamental ignorance about the nature of the emergent processes through which consciousness, the organism, and the environment are constituted. Mastery through the exercise of autonomous will is merely the story consciousness tells itself to explain results that actually come about through chaotic dynamics and emergent structures. If, as Donna Haraway, Sandra Harding, Evelyn Fox Keller, Carolyn Merchant, and other feminist critics of science have argued, there is a relation among the desire for mastery, an objectivist account of science, and the imperialist project of subduing nature, then the posthuman offers resources for the construction of another kind of account. In this account, emergence replaces teleology; reflexive epistemology replaces objectivism; distributed cognition replaces autonomous will; embodiment replaces a body seen as a support system for the mind; and a dynamic partnership between humans and intelligent machines replaces the liberal humanist subject's manifest destiny to dominate and control nature. Of course, this is not necessarily what the posthuman will mean - only what it can mean if certain strands among its complex seriations are highlighted and combined to create a vision of the human that uses the posthuman as leverage to avoid reinscribing, and thus repeating, some of the mistakes of the past.”
Source: How We Became Posthuman
According to Hayles, autonomous will is an illusion, and “distributed cognition” is the real nature of our condition. “Even a biologically unaltered Homo sapiens counts as posthuman. The defining characteristics involve the construction of subjectivity, not the presence of nonbiological components.” From this perspective, in so many words, if distributed cognition doesn’t solve climate change, nothing will. There’s no other game in town. Hayles is sensitive to concerns such as climate change that affect “the long-range survival of humans and of the other life-forms, biological and artificial, with whom we share the planet and ourselves.” That is the last line of her book. (p291) In a sense, the majority of our current models already implicitly acknowledge the distributed nature of cognition, though I would argue they (and we) would benefit far more if this network/systems/distributed view was more explicitly acknowledged.

I love this paragraph about the “erotic anxiety” brought about by a way of thinking so fertile that it could synthesize the social and natural sciences into a single field of inquiry. Lately this possibility has been entertained a lot, but without a full appreciation of the implications that Hayles draws out. Why? Erotic anxiety over “pleasurably tight coupling” (Haraway) and reconstituted boundaries. In philosophy and psychology, eros is the desire for wholeness, and although it may initially take the form of passionate love, it is more accurately a desire for "psychic relatedness," a desire for interconnection and interaction. It is the will to live, to create life. Herbert Marcuse wrote "Today the fight for life, the fight for Eros, is the political fight."

7. It appears to me that strategies for control, whether in business or politics, are concentrating less on objects, spaces, or bodies, and more on boundary conditions, interfaces, and rates of flow. This is simply because it is nearly impossible to separate an object from its environment (that is, the systems of relations in which it is embedded and functionally dependent upon). Or to put it another way, the subject and object do not exist in isolation, but interpenetration. Consequently, if you want to understand or influence something, no matter how big or small, then you must understand all the sorts of forces and factors it is bound up with. From this it is also clear that effective governance would likely focus less attention on individuals or populations per se, and more on establishing the environmental conditions in which responsive modes of behavior can emerge. (See also 無為.) 

8. “Materialism” is a form of philosophical monism which holds that matter is the fundamental substance in nature, and that all things, including mental aspects and consciousness, are results of material interactions. “New materialism” or “vital materialism” reworks received notions of matter as a uniform, inert substance and instead foregrounds novel accounts of its agentic thrust, processual nature, formative impetus, and self-organizing capacities, whereby matter, as an active force, is not only sculpted by, but also co-productive in conditioning and enabling social worlds and expression, human life and experience.

Symbiogenesis
9. Norbert Wiener wrote “Let me lay the ghost of another pseudo-scientific bogy: the bogy of ‘wholism.’ If a phenomena can only be grasped as a whole, it is completely unresponsive to analysis.” And if whole systems are unresponsive to scientific analysis, then they are not available for serious inquiry. “The whole is never at our disposal.”1

This raises an interesting question. Is holism an incorrect view of reality, or does it rather reveal the limitations of scientific inquiry and present a challenge, one to be investigated at the frontiers of complexity theory? I believe Weiner’s frustration with those who ignore such limitations suggests the latter more than the former. But as Katherine Hayles revealed, Wiener was also disturbed by the possible lack of boundaries for the liberal human subject, which holism would imply.2 (Ironically, Wiener’s area of scientific inquiry later created the tools for making the intractable problem of holism more receptive to analysis.)

According to Spinoza, all things are simply modes of a common substance, and every mode is in turn a mosaic of simpler parts. Deleuze took this a step further, pointing out that all things have the ability to affect and in turn be affected by other things. This entails continual invention, and the formation of alliances, assemblages, and synergies (per Peter Corning).3 All things can both mod(e)ify and be modified by others. We need a conceptualization of the part-whole relationship that reflects this “mosaicism," as Bennett persuasively argues.4 This process is already well underway. Haraway shows how we are letting go of the dictates of bounded, possessive individualism, human exceptionalism, and zero-sum games, and replacing these with a paradoxical world of holobionts, holobiomes, and symbiogenesis within an Extended Evolutionary Synthesis.5

1 Thomas Rid, “Rise of the Machines” (2016)
2 N. Katherine Hayles, “How We Became Posthuman” (1999)
3 Peter Corning, “Synergistic Selection” (2018)
4 Jane Bennett, “Vibrant Matter,” chapter 2 “The Agency of Assemblages” (2010)
5 Donna Haraway, “Staying with the Trouble,” chapter 3 “Sympoiesis” (2016)

10. Midway through reading Jane Bennett's book "Vibrant Matter," I reflected upon how profoundly the easily overlooked material conditions of my life influence my thoughts and desires. Something as innocuous as changing my posture can reorient my priorities and mollify my senses. The recursive loop of actions and wants offers numerous points of intervention. "Vibrant Matter" provides one of the most useful entry points for how to address environmental issues. Like her material subject matter, her book forms a node within a network of academic research that intersects with similar issues, an assemblage of critical scholarship. And it suggests numerous potential avenues for cross-fertilization with other areas. Unfortunately, it is also a somewhat foreign perspective for most people, and might require a bit of translation before it can work its way into broader public awareness.

Combining Bennett's insights into the political implications of vital materialism (especially those extrapolated from Dewey and Rancière) with Judea Pearl's analysis of causality, intervention, and mechanism would be interesting. Pearl quoted Alan Turning, who wrote "The survival of the fittest is a slow method for measuring advantages. The experimenter, by the exercise of intelligence, should be able to speed it up. ...If he can trace a cause for some weakness he can probably think of the kind of mutation which will improve it." Turing was right in that we can analyze causality in this way, and I think his approach would be amenable to Bennett's "new materialist" understanding, though to my knowledge this hasn't been explicitly looked at. As Bennett points out, "The machine model of nature, with its figure of inert matter, is no longer even scientific. It has been challenged by systems theory, complexity theory, chaos theory..." (91). But how could it not be scientific? What Bennett is doing throughout her book is attempting to synthesize the ideas of many theorists on the subject of material relations, and central to her process is criticizing the binaries that we uncritically fall back on and that pervade our viewpoints. Even the title of her book is intentionally provocative by suggesting an ostensibly oxymoronic synthesis: "Vibrant Matter." So when she says matter is not inert, she's saying that insofar as we assume the binary of animate/inanimate to inform our worldview, and into which all things can be categorized, respectively into the one or the other column, this is no longer scientific. In fact, such terminology has become so thoroughly contaminated with cultural associations that it is probably easier to replace it with new terms.

We are in a better position today, following work done in social physics and cybernetics by Sandy Pentland and Rodney Brooks (respectively), to begin to realize Lovecraft's notion of "correlating dissociated knowledge." If we can expand the notion of social physics to be even broader than what Pentland originally intended, we may approach the sort of understanding Bennett suggests is required. I don't think it would be too presumptuous to say that such a project would catalyze dramatic changes in philosophy, science, politics, and economics (understood as industrial ecology).

Returning to my earlier claim that Bennett outlines a very promising entry point for environmental and health related issues, Bennett asks "What, in sum, are the implications of a (meta)physics of vibrant materiality for political theory?" (94). Here is where she turns to Dewey, Rancière, and Latour. I won't repeat her here, but her argument is worth reading in full. "Is the power to disrupt really limited to human speakers?" (106) Clearly not. Easily overlooked, but one of the greatest sources for political disruption has been and will remain environmental change. Understanding how climate change burst onto the political scene in the last 50 years requires an understanding of nonhuman actants, and, Bennett would argue, a corresponding gestalt shift in perception. ...Bennett says we are "selves who live as earth," as Haraway noted "we are all compost." The symbolism of dirt is powerful, as the metaphor "dust to dust" clearly attests.

Source: Unthought
11. If Bennett's exploration of agency in "Vibrant Matter" isn't rigorous enough, then Hayles' book "Unthought" provides a closer look. While we have generally been unaware of the cognitive contribution provided by our environmental milieu, her analysis suggests this may be increasingly hard to overlook. Hayles attempts to formulate the idea of a "planetary cognitive ecology" that includes both human and technical actors. As she writes in the preface, "We live in an era when the planetary cognitive ecology is undergoing rapid transformation, urgently requiring us to rethink cognition and reenvision its consequences on a global scale... My hope is that these ideas will help move us toward more sustainable, enduring, and flourishing environments for all living beings and nonhuman others."

This reminds me of David Grinspoon’s hypothesized Sapiezoic (inspired as it was by Vernadsky's noösphere, among others). Grinspoon asks, "In analogy to our new understanding of human health, rather than assuming we're the disease, can we seek to play the balanced and mutually beneficial role that would make us part of the commensal microbiome of Gaia? ...People are in great need of some larger perspective. We need to have a long-term vision of where we want to go to help us through this time of alarming short-term threat." Maybe Hayles has that vision. As she writes:

"If decentering the human is a major thrust of contemporary cultural theory, including animal studies, posthumanities, new materialisms, and other such projects, the entire basis for cognition shifts to a planetary scale, in which human actors are but one component of complex interactions that include many other cognizers. Whether consciousness is a crown or a burden, or both together, must be reevaluated in this larger context of planetary cognitive ecology — and perhaps beyond planetary as well." (110-111)

"Then the question becomes... how networks of non-conscious cognitions between and among the planet’s cognizers are transforming the conditions of life, as human complex adaptive systems become increasingly interdependent upon and entwined with intelligent technologies in cognitive assemblages. If contemporary cultures in developed societies are presently undergoing systemic transformations that are profoundly changing planetary cognitive ecologies, as I have argued, then the humanities should and must be centrally involved in analyzing, interpreting, and understanding the implications. Anything less is a disservice to their missions — and to the world. To riff on the quotation with which I began: It all depends on what kind of world you want." (216)

Hayles uses the terminology of cognitive science to analyze how power is created, extended, modified, and exercised by "cognitive assemblages." Here she makes her case that "cognizers at all levels" are ethical actors who "have special roles to play in our evolving planetary ecologies." (This reminds me of Peter Corning's oft-repeated statement that "a complex modern society is, in essence, a collective survival enterprise." Hayles just extended the notion of society to include cognizers at all levels.)

12. Hayles on the topic of biosemiosis and the semiosphere: "As you know, biosemiotics did not originate with information theory but with von Uexküll’s umwelt theory. It therefore addresses the process of meaning-making by considering the meaning-maker as a subject with a specific world-view, that is, its umwelt. This makes it fundamentally different from the purely quantitative (and subjectless) information postulated by Shannon and Wiener. What I especially like about biosemiotics is precisely this subjective orientation, which it combines in a very convincing way with empirical research on biological processes ...I am experimenting with the idea of biosemiotics and overlapping (never entirely coinciding) umwelten of humans and computational media. Yes, there are profound differences in embodiment, but there are also functional homologies."

Tags: biopolitics, biopower, cultural hegemony, environmentality, eco-environmentality, embodied cognition, enactivism, extended cognition, extended self, externalism, functional contextualism, contextual behavior science, Michel Foucault, governmentality, milieu, postmodernism, situated cognition, situationism, social constructionism, transcorporeality, parliament of things (Latour), actor-network theory, posthumanities, posthumanist politics

Sources:
Jennifer Gabrys, Programming Environments: Environmentality and Citizen Sensing in the Smart City (2014)
Jennifer Gabrys, Program Earth: Environmental Sensing Technology and the Making of a Computational Planet (2016)
Jennifer Gabrys, Becoming Planetary (2018) "The prevailing genre of the human has excluded more-than-human entities and relations."
Eglė Rindzevičiūtė, Soviet Policy Sciences and Earth System Governmentality (2018)
Gabriela Valdivia, Eco-Governmentality, The Routledge Handbook of Political Ecology (2015) (Eco-governmentality is a Foucauldian-inspired power analytic.)
Hubert Dreyfus, "Being and Power" Revisited, (from "Foucault and Heidegger: Critical Encounters," 2003)
Thomas Lemke, An Alternative Model of Politics? Prospects and Problems of Jane Bennett’s Vital Materialism (2018)
Rosi Braidotti, Inhuman Symposium: Posthuman, All Too Human? A Cultural Political Cartography (2015) (The history of philosophy is intensely political. We could ask ourselves the question: If Spinoza in the 17th century already had an understanding of the unity of matter with flows of becoming, then how come his philosophy disappeared and we are in for two and a half centuries of Descartes? That may be because dualism is a much simpler system of governance, and Spinoza's nature-culture philosophy displaces the centrality of Anthropos.)
Rosi Braidotti, Posthuman Critical Theory (from "Critical Posthumanism and Planetary Futures," 2016)
Rosi Braidotti, A Theoretical Framework for the Critical Posthumanities (2018)
Rosi Braidotti, Posthuman, All Too Human: The Memoirs and Aspirations of a Posthumanist (2017) "Being posthuman is not a mark of contempt. "Human" never was a unitary term to begin with, but rather one that indexes access to rights and entitlements. No amount of universalism can conceal the fracture, the internal contradictions and external exclusions that have always composed a notion of the human. Rather, subjectivity is on a continuum. The knower is not Anthropos alone, but a more complex - embodied and embedded, non-unitary, relational and affective, nomadic and collaborative subject." (What do you see when you look in the mirror? Anthropos alone? Or a more complex - embodied and embedded, non-unitary, relational and affective, nomadic and collaborative subject? What is seen? What is not seen?)
Robert Pepperell, The Posthuman Manifesto (2005) “First we had God, humans and nature. The rationalists dispensed with God, leaving humans in perpetual conflict with nature. The posthumanists dispense with humans leaving only nature. The distinctions between God, nature and humanity do not represent any eternal truth about the human condition. It merely reflects the prejudices of the societies that maintained the distinctions.”
David Roden, Deconstruction and excision in philosophical posthumanism, The Journal of Evolution & Technology 21/1, (2010), 27-36. "The posthuman, according to Hayles, does not signify the “end of humanity” but the end of a conception of the human as self-present, autonomous agent that “may have applied, at best, to that fraction of humanity who had the wealth, power and leisure to conceptualize themselves as autonomous beings exercising their will through individual agency and choice."
David Roden, Roden on the Posthuman & the Transhuman (2014) “Posthumanists reject anthropocentrism; they may, but need not, claim that humans are becoming more intertwined with technology.”
Moises Velasquez-Manoff, How the Western Diet Has Derailed Our Evolution (2015) (How does the notion of the "holobiont" help shape a posthuman perspective? E.O. Wilson once said if he could start his life over he would work in microbial ecology. Perhaps the ecology of the microbiome is a good place to begin.)
Cary Wolfe, What is Posthumanism? (2010) “Humanism gives us an overly simple picture of what the human is. Posthumanism points toward the necessity of moving beyond the philosophical simplifications of humanism (many of them self-flattering, of course!) to arrive at a much thicker, more complex and layered description of this thing we call “human” and how it is bound up with all sorts of forces and factors that aren’t “human” at all (our “animal” biological inheritance and how it shapes our emotions, our behavior, our needs and wants; our ecological embeddedness as creatures of evolution in a web of life not of our making; the ahuman exteriority and technicity of the archives and prostheses of memory and culture, and so on).”
Cary Wolfe, Is Humanism Really Humane? (2017)
Francesca Ferrando, Posthumanism, Transhumanism, Antihumanism, Metahumanism, and New Materialisms: Differences and Relations (2013) "As the anthropocene marks the extent of the impact of human activities on a planetary level, the posthuman focuses on de-centering the human from the primary focus of the discourse."
Stefan Herbrechter, What is Critical Posthumanist Education? (2018) "We’re no longer happy with traditional ways of defining what it means to be human. We are struggling to define us, and questioning the process of definition itself, whether defining is a helpful move because defining is always against others. But we’re in this together, we need everybody, and this opens up wider questions about where a possible future lies."
Donna Haraway, Anthropocene, Capitalocene, Plantationocene, Chthulucene: Making Kin (2015) "No species, not even our own arrogant one pretending to be good individuals in so-called modern Western scripts, acts alone; assemblages of organic species and of abiotic actors make history, the evolutionary kind and the other kinds too... All critters share a common “flesh,” laterally, semiotically, and genealogically."
Donna Haraway, Anthropocene, Capitalocene, Chthulucene: Staying with the Trouble (2014) "We are all lichens now. We have never been individuals. From anatomical, physiological, evolutionary, developmental, philosophic, economic, I don’t care what perspective, we are all lichens now."
Kaisa Kortekallio, Becoming Compost (2017) (Posthumanism critiques the modern tradition of human exceptionalism, domination of the material world, and the categorical separation of nature and culture.)
Donna Haraway, A Cyborg Manifesto: Science, Technology, and Socialist-Feminism in the Late Twentieth Century (1985) "Certain dualisms have been persistent in Western traditions. Chief among these are self/other. But why should our bodies end at the skin? Is there a way out of the maze of dualisms in which we have explained our bodies and our tools to ourselves? To be one is to be an illusion, and two is only one possibility. This is the self-knowledge of a self-who-is-not and does not exist as a subject. When the integrity of natural objects is questioned in this way, control strategies no longer concentrate on objects, spaces, or bodies (as they do today), but instead on boundary conditions, interfaces, and rates of flow."
Michael Allen Fox, A New Look At Personal Identity (2007) "DNA certainly seems like a tempting physical carrier for personal identity, because it’s as identifying of oneself as anything can be. But even here, hopes are dashed for identity. The human body contains between one and ten trillion cells. It turns out that only ten percent of the DNA present within our bodies belongs to our own cells; the rest resides within the ten to one hundred trillion bacteria and other organisms of several hundred species which inhabit our bodies. Hence it now looks as if what counts as my body, although macroscopically quite specifiable, is, from the standpoint of genetic coding, only ten percent mine. This leaves us with the awkward conclusion (which we shall have to accept) that to be me is to cohabit my body with trillions upon trillions of other organisms, whose genetic coding radically deviates from my own DNA blueprint. My body is no longer simply my body."
Peter Wolfendale, The Reformatting of Homo Sapiens (2015) "The project of critical posthumanism deconstructs the humanities and reconstitutes them as the post humanities. The focus lies in dissolving the defining metaphysical oppositions of classical humanism such as between body and mind, nature and culture, and even biology and technology, and thereby undermining associated normative hierarchies in the realms of sex, class, race, and even species. ...Concern with theoretical responsibility motivated a parallel concern with practical autonomy. This formalized the emergent individualism of classical humanism and became central to the sort of subsequent political culture of modernity." 
Benesch, Walter “An Introduction to Comparative Philosophy” (1997)
Benesch, Walter and Eduardo Wilner Continuum Logic (2002)
Steven Craig Hickman, David Roden and the Posthuman Dilemma: Anti-Essentialism and the Question of Humanity (2017) (David Roden believes that the whole gamut of metaphysical notions of Being and Substance derived from Plato/Aristotle and the traditions they spawned provide a misleading picture of reality. As he writes, “to say that a human essence exists is just to say that there is a set of individually necessary conditions for humanity.” Instead, Roden believes humanity has no fixed stable presence, no essence, and that we are formless, malleable, and open to alteration through adaptation and disequilibrium.)
Anna Marmodoro, Anaxagoras's Qualitative Gunk (2015)
John Sisko, A review of Anna Marmodoro's book (2017)
Anna Marmodoro, Everything in Everything: Anaxagoras's Metaphysics (2017) "Anaxagoras is the first gunk-lover in the history of metaphysics. He has a unique conception of gunk and a unique power ontology: power gunk."
Dan Lam, Drippy Blob-Like Sculptures Develop Sparkly Color-Changing Surfaces (An artistic interpretation of Anaxagorean gunk: Intricately detailed, yet formless, and infinitely decomposable.) "Dallas-based artist Dan Lam organizes her gloopy sculptural works into three categories that perfectly capture the form factor of her general aesthetic: Squishes, Drips, and Blobs."
Neil Badmington Theorizing Posthumanism (2003)
N. Katherine Hayles, Cognitive Assemblages: Technical Agency and Human Interactions
N. Katherine Hayles, Why We Are (Still) Posthuman (11/15/17) t=1:08 ("We participate in cognitive assemblages. The challenge of the posthuman is to create affirmative ways to go forward without abandoning the cognitive assemblages in which we are so deeply enmeshed, and that involves very complex questions about how regulations are to be forged in a way that will make this possible, how ethics needs to be rethought when agency is distributed between devices and humans, and so forth. So I think there is an enormous amount of work to be done. But without some vision of an affirmative future toward which we move, I don't see how we can begin on making that work.")
N. Katherine Hayles, Posthumanism, Technogenesis, and Digital Technologies: A Conversation with N. Katherine Hayles (2014) ("Human agency cannot ever be seen in isolation from the systems with which humans are in constant and constitutive interaction. Humans have always been integrated into their environment and have co-evolved with it. What is new at the present moment is the unprecedented degree with which we actively build and change these environments. This enables new feedback loops and new forms of amplification between human evolution and technical developments. ...I work with a framework consisting of three levels: firstly, the conscious and unconscious as modes of awareness, secondly nonconscious cognition, and thirdly material processes.
"The nonconscious has a tremendously important role to play in understanding human mental life. It can, for instance, provide new insights regarding the various affinities and commonalities we share with animals as well as technical systems. The tripartite framework can be envisioned as a pyramid, with modes of awareness at the top, supported by nonconscious cognition below it, and underneath that are material processes. While this metaphor grants the “highest” position to consciousness, it also allots to conscious/unconscious modes of awareness the smallest volume of space. This accurately reflects the conclusion that many cognitive scientists now accept, that human behaviour as a totality is comprised much more of nonconscious cognition than of consciousness. Which brings us back to the issue of profoundly questioning the implicit assumptions underlying the autonomous humanist liberal subject. ...This entails highly political questions that can point either toward an inclusive and progressive, or an exclusory, direction.")
Josephine Bosma, Interview with N. Katherine Hayles (1998) ("I am very interested in ideas of subjectivity that are not rooted in classical, traditional, liberal ideas. The liberal tradition really grows out of the notion that one owns oneself. First of all one owns one's body and from this ownership of one's body grow all the social institutions like market relations and so forth. This construction of the subject is bound up from the beginning with capitalist social and economic structure. There may be other ways to think about the subject that don't found themselves first and foremost on this notion of ownership. New technologies open up possibilities for rethinking other ways to begin to construct the subject.")

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Human Computation: Is this the route to Terra Sapiens?

 "We cannot solve problems using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them." - Albert Einstein (attributed)
Pietro Michelucci is the editor of Handbook of Human Computation (2013). What is that? As he wrote in the introduction, "A more descriptive title for this book would have been “The application, design, infrastructure, and analysis of heterogeneous multi-agent distributed information processing systems and their political, societal, and ethical implications”, but as brevity is the soul of wit, I decided to go with simply Handbook of Human Computation." Michelucci's paper "Human Computation and Convergence" (2016) further describes these systems, that have "the capacity to address society's most wicked problems and achieve planetary homeostasis." Those are his words, and a lofty vision indeed! As he writes in his paper:
"Thus far, biological evolution has endowed humans with the intelligence needed for survival, including the invention of powerful technologies. However, some of these inventions have led to intractable societal problems (e.g., climate change, pandemic disease, geopolitical conflict, etc.), the solutions of which exceed the reach of individual human cognitive abilities. These “wicked problems” have no specific formulation, as each problem characterization depends upon a specific solution approach, which exists among an unknown set of possible approaches. To further complicate matters, there is no definitive endpoint; candidate solutions must be dynamic, adaptive, and ongoing.

"While collective intelligence, distributed sensing, and coordinated action, when implemented successfully, are each potentially transformative in their own right, the prospect of combining those capabilities within a unified system suggests a tantalizing opportunity to build a distributed organism that manifests collective agency in the world. Such a “superorganism” would exhibit pervasive awareness through its distributed sensory faculties, reason with an unprecedented degree of predictive accuracy, and implement complex, multi-actor behaviors. This model has evolutionary precedents among the eusocial insect species, which derive survival advantages through locally cooperative, globally emergent collective behaviors. Indeed, a recent comparative analysis of these insect behaviors to open source software development has provided inspiration for new human computation methods.
"In other words, when life forms collaborate and coalesce, as enabled by technology, to produce a more advanced predictive model of the universe, they are better able to self-adjust and engineer effective interventions that further perpetuate life and more advanced information processing systems, leading to yet better predictions. Dynamic systems theory would suggest that such a cascading process could lead to a phase shift, that is, a sudden qualitatively different pattern of organization in the life-universe system."
Pietro Michelucci recently tweeted “The one thing we can always count on humans to do is to be human (not sure that's changed much over the centuries). Considering invariant aspects of human behavior helps us engineer more effective human/machine partnerships for societal betterment.” It's notable that this perspective is shared among many researchers, in a separate paper, "Cyber-Physical Human Systems: Putting People in the Loop" (2016), I read "While most of us think about people using systems, many complex systems (such as the smart grid, or smart cities) are actually a combination of computers, machines and people all working together to achieve the goals of the systems. ...The different ways in which people and computers observe, process, and act present challenges (and opportunities) for people to work together with computers to best achieve a goal." The authors go on to develop a unique way of framing this challenge in terms of elements, components, and systems.

It seems to me that at our current stage of sociocultural evolution, we have a pretty good understanding of the elements, and we are beginning to acquire detailed data models of the components, but we have not fully realized the ability to rapidly reconfigure the system, in response to changing conditions, to optimize its functioning and thereby preserve the integrity of the components. This last requirement makes all the difference in effectively addressing existential threats.

Let's define the relationship among these terms, according to the paper's authors. Elements combine to form components (and critically, some of these are capable of delivering services) which in turn combine to form systems. Now suppose that we would like to optimize our system. The difficulty here is that optimal system conditions are continuously changing in response to dynamic conditions external to the system - in the changing global environment - and to conditions internal to the system - as service components evolve by recombining elements into new configurations. Therefore in order to optimize a system, we must do at least three things simultaneously: sense environmental conditions, maintain accurate data on system service components, and configure service components into functioning social ecosystems. (Think of three rough categories: context, capability, and configuration.)

On Monitoring Cyber-Physical-Social Systems
Here's how the paper's authors describe their solution. A Human Service Capability Description (HSCD) data model shows your general capabilities and needs, grouped into elements. Think of it as the most accurate and up-to-date resume (or personal profile, digital identity, etc.) that you could ever make. This allows you to integrate into a broader Cyber Physical Social System (CPSS), which has pervasive awareness through its distributed sensory faculties. Utilizing the HSCD of multiple people, a CPSS can coordinate complex, multi-actor behaviors, resulting in a coherent system-level outcome. In other words, a CPSS leverages the capability of multiple individuals to find creative solutions to complex problems, such as the economic optimization problem, and non-economic social problems. This is a formal presentation of how a CPSS might work. For a big picture view of CPSS, Hai Zhuge, a Chinese computer scientist, can help put it all into perspective. Here's a few paraphrased selections from an article he coauthored:
The natural ecological environment is a vast and complex system that has evolved over billions of years. The health of any ecosystem depends on effective energy flow, material flow, and information flow cycles to maintain the dynamic balance of populations of species in the flow cycles by assimilating waste and being able to self-recover from damage. The harmonious characteristics of the natural ecological environment represent a new way for IT professionals to establish a future interconnection environment.
In his book "The Knowledge Grid: Toward Cyber-Physical Society" (2012) Zhuge describes how he aspires to connect everything. As Christian Jensen explains in the foreword, the book "advances the vision of human-machine-nature symbiosis." As Zhuge says, "cyber-physical-social systems will need to be based on a kind of semantics capable of establishing an “understanding” between inanimate resources and humans." As he describes on his personal website:
The future interconnection environment will be a large-scale human-machine environment that unites the physical, virtual, and mental worlds. Ideally, this environment will be an autonomous, living, sustainable, and intelligent system within which society and nature evolve cooperatively. It will gather and organize resources into semantically rich forms that both machines and people can easily use. Geographically dispersed users will be able to cooperatively accomplish tasks and solve problems by using the network to actively promote the flow of material, energy, techniques, information, knowledge, and services in this environment.
In his 2013 paper "Cyber-Physical Society: The science and engineering for future society," Zhuge describes one of the benefits he sees to this approach. "A cyber-physical society can be efficient and low carbon, as it will be able to optimize coordination between the flow of knowledge, information, materials, and energy, and minimize energy use and waste production." A useful analogy to Zhuge's idea is that of the "smart electric grid" or a "circular economy." To paraphrase "Smart Cities as Cyber-Physical Social Systems:"
It is worth emphasizing that the ultimate value of CPSS infrastructure lies in “closing the loop” that consists of sensing, communicating, decision making, and actuating—rather than simply collecting and sharing data. This aspect is not yet widely recognized... Technology alone cannot transform a city without the participation and cooperation of its citizens. A CPSS is in fact a sociotechnical ecosystem of people, technology, organizations, and information. As such, the proper design and management of this ecosystem needs to bring together engineers, ecologists, economists, and social scientists, providing a wealth of interdisciplinary research opportunities.
Generation and evolution of various spaces
The philosopher Walter Benesch noted that, for the ancients, "space" is where things and events happen. For Zeno, if something did not occupy space, it was nothing. Likewise, an idea occupies a position in a train or sequence of ideas, has origins and ends. Benesch made use of this metaphor, "the analogies that can be made between our thinking of space and and the space of our thinking provide the basis for what I am calling philosophical space... It is within a world of mental constructs that we relate thoughts, objects, and symbols and turn them into literature, music, architecture, religion, science. ...I believe that mastering travel in philosophical space is as important as learning to walk in physical space for it is in the contexts of philosophical space that we give significance to our life-long voyages in the physical world."

To achieve the goals of a "smart world" capable of increased sensory feedback and information processing, we need to bring together a multitude of things operating within a variety of spaces. Discovering how those things interact will be eye opening; charting the dimensions of cyber, physical, social, and (yes) philosophical spaces, and where and how they interpenetrate with each other, will be illuminating; and relating the contents of all these spaces to one another will be revolutionary.

We can combine the agent interaction model (Fig.1) and spatial qualities (Fig.2) of CPSS to develop a model of the evolution of a "smart world." If the cyber-physical-social space is characterized by three dimensions, the majority of our evolutionary history proceeded along the physical dimension, as relatively simple organisms with rudimentary forms of social interaction. With the evolution of sophisticated neuroanatomy and cultures, our exploration of social space became more varied and complex, and with the development of complex artifacts in the last century (or rather the last few decades) we've increasingly explored cyber space, the third axis on the graph.

In order to realize that "smart world" with improved flows in energy, materials, and information, we'll need a better understanding of how the various actors, and their respective fields of action, all work together. It is much easier to solve a two dimensional maze when you can gain a "bird's eye" view and see it from the third dimension. In the same way, social space makes solving problems in physical space easier (embodiment problem, economic optimization problem), cyber space makes solving problems in social space easier (interpersonal utility comparison problem, coordination paradox), and physical space informs problems in cyber space (correlate dissociated contents and knowledge). Similar to the way that metacognition sheds light upon cognition, each additional dimension provides new tools, and improves the flows, responsiveness, and coordination among the actors in the other fields.

Case study 1: The interpersonal utility comparison problem

There's a very powerful thesis to be argued for using emerging technology in the service of social justice movements. We're seeing bits and pieces of this argument being constructed, but there's much more waiting to be said. Political spending, both public and private, could be better tracked. And we can get a fine grained understanding of the flow of money across the globe, regardless of the source or destination, or to what ends it is put. Do we really want to know? Of course. Better still, we don't even have to use standard metrics - there are many proxy variables that would probably suffice, and perhaps yield a clearer picture.

Alex Pentland once said theorists like Adam Smith and Karl Marx only had half the answers. His study of social physics, which he calls "Promethean fire," marks a qualitative change in our understanding of human interaction. We have the potential to move past Marxism and capitalism. Wealth is still power, but we can now know exactly how it is created or extracted, where it is going, what it is doing, and (counterfactually) what it might've done instead. According to Noam Cohen: "As the Silicon Valley mantra goes, what you can’t measure you can’t improve. Imagine a world where data are used to make institutions more fair, rather than just more efficient, where books are published with fantastic titles like Algorithms of Justice, and Automating Equality. These tools are now available to journalists, advocacy organizations, and reformers within government."

Case study 2: Dematerialization (resource efficiency)

Andrew McAfee describes this process, which involves the intersection of the physical and cyber spaces: "Today, we have decoupled economic growth from resource consumption. Dematerialization is simply the ability to consume the things we want (in this case media communications, computing) while using fewer resources, fewer molecules from the world. In some cases none at all. Now dematerialization does not happen because we spontaneously give up the desire to consume and embrace the philosophy of degrowth. It doesn't happen because we're noble. It happens because we're cheap. It's very simple. Resources cost money that we would rather not spend, and technological progress offers us an alternative to that spending. So instead of buying a computer and a hard drive and a landline, and an answering machine, and the camcorder, and the camera, and a Walkman, and a tape. We just buy one tiny phone. Once you're aware of dematerialization you start to see it all over the place."

Metaphysical pluralism, the simulation hypothesis, and CPSS

Philosophers have long distinguished between the "real" and the "apparent." Science itself is a grand project to determine what is "real." Ancient philosophy embarked on this journey, and the Socratic paradox can be paraphrased as "I know that I know nothing," That's why it has been said Socrates was the wisest man - he knew that any knowledge he claimed to have was only "apparent," not real in any sense of the word. That's our starting point. This physical reality full of physical things can at best be considered our apparent world, a qualification we conveniently ignore as we go about our daily lives. It may be that reality is very different, and existence an undefinable term. This ties into the anthropic principle, which is to say "of course we'd consider our apparent reality to be real, by what other standard are we to judge?" Regardless, The terms "reality" and "simulation" reveal so many ambiguities that, given the Socratic paradox, from an operational perspective they seem arbitrarily equivalent.
“It might be that, in some sense, all of the world that we think of as ‘the real world’ is itself information. And that’s what computers are running as well. It might turn out that metaphysically speaking, deep down, a simulation and reality are the same sorts of things.” - Robert Rupert, philosophy of mind professor at the University of Colorado
Living Governance
What is real? The metaphysical question is very old, and it’s clearly at the root of the “simulation hypothesis” advanced by Nick Bostrom and popularized by Elon Musk. We could also ask “What is a simulation?” For both questions, the real and the simulated define each other, as the one is not the other and vice versa. But more to the point, they both agree that there is just one reality, whereas there can be limitless simulations. This is the perspective of metaphysical monism, and it's not a requirement for the CPSS framework. Instead of a monistic or dualistic perspective on reality, the third option of metaphysical pluralism appears a natural fit for the philosphical basis of CPSS. Think of it as an application of anekāntavāda (Sanskrit: अनेकान्तवाद, "many-sidedness"). Why diversity and pluralism? We live in a reality composed of multiple interconnected spaces that share some qualities, but not others, and these spaces reflect and influence each other to a greater or lesser degree. Each of them has it's own particular geography, contents, limits, and operational processes. One emergent phenomenon cannot be reduced to another, but they can form a synergistic relationship.

Within the context of CPSS, we can call physical space S(n), social space S(n+1), and cyber space S(n+2). Maybe we could add mind space to the mix somewhere, but that’s beside the point. In a sense, each of these spaces is a recursive model, an abstraction or simulation that facilitates interactive engagement with the underlying agents and processes in the other spaces, all of which are different substrates of reality. And just as it is possible to distinguish between fact and fiction in physical space, so too do such limits exist in social and cyber spaces, though they follow different sets of rules in accordance with their particular substrates. If some version of metaphysical pluralism best describes the fabric of reality, then our task within each space/substrate is to map its geography, correlate its contents, and understand its limits and flows. The operational qualities of physical spaces (such as mass, energy, and time), social spaces (intangibles like fairness, security, and caring), and cyber spaces (interpersonal cognition, digital communication, and complex control) are very different, and should be judged according to their own merits.

The current economy is biased toward physical space, while a disproportionate amount of growth seems to be occurring in social and cyber spaces today. That raises the question of how one places value on intangible qualities, and there is likely insufficient understanding of how that can be ascribed, and whether it is quantifiable. While I would not be able to exist without physical things, I would very likely not exist without social things either. And I can confidently predict that if cyber things ceased to exist, there would be a non-trivial amount of disruption to many lives as well. This wasn't always the case, but today many critical aspects of our infrastructure have become dependent upon cybernetic systems, which are much more than just your smart phone and social media accounts. 

Additional resources:
"Solving today’s most challenging and complex problems requires an ability to build consensus around common goals and gather, process, and act on information at massive scales with increasing efficiency. We do not know how to create machines with the critical cognitive abilities required for solving important human-centered problems. But what if we could engineer systems that combine the respective strengths of machines and humans toward new capabilities?" - A US Research Roadmap for Human Computation
Collective Awareness and Action in Urban Superorganisms
Cyber–Physical–Social Frameworks for Urban Big Data Systems: A Survey 
Cyber-Human Systems (CHS), National Science Foundation
Ensuring Leadership in Federally Funded Research and Development in Information Technology (Report from President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology)
Human-Machine-Nature Symbiosis on Cyber-Physical-Social Intelligence, Hai Zhuge (2019)
From Internet to Smart World, HuanSheng Ning (See David Grinspoon's concept of "Terra Sapiens," which means "wise Earth." How much of a difference is there between a wise Earth and a smart world?) Accessed from Cybermatics
A Data-Centric Framework for Cyber-Physical-Social Systems, Bin Guo (Data-driven CPSS leverages the aggregated power of cyber, physical, and social spaces to improve the efficiencies of organizations and the quality of people’s lives.)
Transitions in distributed intelligence, Olaf Witkowski (Connection between evolutionary transitions, intelligent problem solving, and efficient solutions.)
The Myth of a Superhuman AI, Kevin Kelly ("Our intelligence is one of a million types of possible intelligences. So while each dimension of cognition and computation has a limit, if there are hundreds of dimensions, then there are uncountable varieties of mind — none of them infinite in any dimension.")
Technology Has Already Taken Over 90% Of The Jobs Humans Used To Do, If technology has taken over 90% of the jobs humans used to do, then do 90% of jobs we are doing today really need to be done? "Real-life markets are failures all the way down - irrational behaviors, asymmetrical information, barriers to entry, monopoly control, and more. Then layer on top of that complicated regulatory systems, legacy policies and infrastructure, and the distorting influence of status quo interests, and you've got quite a mess."
In 20 Years, the Internet Will Have Swallowed You (The Internet of Things meets the Quantified Self. Our physical embodiment, our being in and of the world, is as important as our activities and relationships.)
Rethinking Who Gets What and Why, Tim O'Reilly (This series of slides is excellent, based on his 2017 book "What's the Future and Why it's up to Us." See earlier version as well.)
Open Data and Algorithmic Regulation, Tim O'Reilly

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

The Attention Economy

"Go to the ant, thou sluggard; consider her ways, and be wise." - Proverbs 6:6
"Blessed are the meek: for they shall inherit the earth." - Matthew 5:5
It's late September, and for some reason articles about termites are popping up in my newsfeed. Three days ago, in "What termites can teach us" Amia Srinivasan explored the concept of the "extended organism" and what Radhika Nagpal calls "extended stigmergy." Just two days ago, in "A giant crawling brain: the jaw-dropping world of termites" (an extract from "Underbug: An Obsessive Tale of Termites and Technology") Lisa Margonelli writes "one scientific metaphor for the inscrutable termite is a neuron in a giant crawling brain." [3] Okay, so termites are interesting, but if you want to see what eusocial insects are really capable of, consider ants, specifically the Argentine ant, Linepithema humile, whose name literally means “humble” or “weak.” About this species a paper was written titled "The global expansion of a single ant supercolony."

Feng Gao at the 2014 Umbrella Movement
It's the ability to indirectly coordinate large groups of individuals, via the mechanism of stigmergy, that makes these insects so successful. They benefit from the synergistic effects of working together. The central insight of stigmergy is that global coordination can be achieved by individual agents interacting locally. Two fundamental principles govern this: 
1. No matter how large the environment grows, because agents interact only locally, their limited processing capabilities are not overwhelmed. (This is useful, since today no single person understands every aspect of society which affects them.) [4]
2. Through the dynamics of self-organization, local interactions can yield a coherent system-level outcome that provides the required control. (This is useful, since we have a need to coordinate goals with people we will never speak to.) [1,7]

Originally, the concept of stigmergy was used to build up a coherent explanation of the so-called "coordination paradox" between the individual and the societal level. The explanation to the coordination paradox provided by stigmergy is that individuals interact indirectly: each affects the behavior of others by indirect communication. [2] Andy Clark and David Chalmers' paper "The Extended Mind" explores a related concept to stigmergy and other forms of indirect communication/coordination, they write: "Does the extended mind imply an extended self? It seems so. ...This view will have significant consequences. It may be, for example, that in some cases interfering with someone's environment will have the same moral significance as interfering with their person. In any case, once the hegemony of skin and skull is usurped, we may be able to see ourselves more truly as creatures of the world." [5]

If this is as far as we go, then we understand the basic idea of stigmergy and may even suspect that it could be capable of greater utility. Radhika Nagpal, in her TED talk, said "We can actually take these rules that we've learned from nature and combine them and create entirely new collective behaviors of our very own." [6] Leave it to Daniel Estrada and Jonathan Lawhead to give what I consider to be one of the best descriptions of how stigmergy can be leveraged in human society. In doing so, they bring in several additional ideas. The first of these is the concept of "natural human computing," (aka human-based computation). [18] This is analogous to stigmergy. Just as we can think of ants or termites as neurons within a brain, individual human behavior patterns, via their interaction, can be thought of as cooperating to compute the solution to a problem. The second of these ideas is that of the "attention economy." The short explanation is that an attention economy treats our attention as a finite resource constantly produced by conscious attenders. Today we live in a money-based economy, so the movement toward an attention-based economy would parallel the movement from the “object dimension” to the “subject dimension" of philosophical space. [8] Per Estrada, "what makes this flow of attention different from every financial economy we are familiar with: you can't store attention. You can't stockpile attention or reserve a bank of attention units. There is no debt in an attention economy and there can be no surplus of attention. There is just the total amount of attention being produced, and the many ways we allocate that attention among all the things we spend our time doing.” [9]

Now we are ready for Estrada and Lawhead's paper "Gaming the Attention Economy," which establishes two very important ideas: (1) how to leverage the normal behavior of individuals to solve complex problems, and (2) how to uncover the real value of things that our current economic system fails to recognize. By utilizing the new tools enabled by augmented reality and digital communities for exchanging goods and services (like Craigslist), we can efficiently address energy, environment, and resource related problems. To me, the potential for addressing climate change holds significant promise. [15, 17] Today we have just glimpses of how utilizing the computational dynamics of natural human activity, acting upon high quality information about local patterns of attention, use, and interaction, can solve the economic optimization problem (and even non-economic social problems). In fact, as Daniel Estrada and Jonathan Lawhead write, that’s a reason why it may eventually replace our current money-based system.

According to Estrada, “Attention models are fundamentally a measure of consensus and therefore may function as the legitimate grounds for a self-organized system of governance, while at the same time working as a model for collectively planning the production, distribution, consumption, and recycling of our natural resources. In this sense, an Attention Economy is a complete system for social organization, and therefore may function in the ideal case without significant contributions from either money or centralized political institutions. ...The attention economy unifies what have traditionally been considered the “separate magisteria” of human social organization: the domains of economics, of governance, and of culture, each of which are traditionally assumed to operate by their own internal dynamics. In fact, these domains are deeply interconnected, and an attention economy will allow us to visualize these relations directly. ...As we collectively confront problems that require social, coordinated action, human societies will increasingly appeal to attention-based models rather than other kinds of models for solving coordination problems.” [9] "[These] provide the essential feedback loops for allowing human communities to self-organize at a global scale," [10] end various forms of exploitative hierarchical systems, and restore the traditional reverse dominance hierarchy to humankind.

Paraphrasing Estrada, we have a lot of work to do: the social networking tools for generating spontaneous direct actions and broad democratic consensus are important. They must operate openly, transparently, and independent of any centralized state or corporate control. [13, 14] State and corporate interests often diverge from the collective interests of the people, so instead of state power generating conformity to social norms, self-organizing social networks will need to ensure that control stays on the side of the people, and include a method for social credit monitoring to manage the distribution of labor and resources such that they are effectively abundant and accessible to all participants in a fair and democratic way. [11, 12, 16] We have some good models for how to do this, but we are a long way from realizing their potential. 

Tags: attention economy, human-based computation, social computing, superorganism, (extended) stigmergy, extended mind, distributed cognition, agent-environment feedback loop, crowdsourcing, augmented reality, gamification (in government), game theory, social credit system (China), Aadhaar (India), persuasive technology, coordination paradox, multi-agent systems, interpersonal utility comparison problem, distributed autonomous organization (DAO), personal autonomous organization (PAO), social physics, sousveillance (reciprocal accountability), algorithmic social contract, Scalable Cooperation Group, 共識主動性社會 (stigmergy society)

Footnotes:
[1] A Survey of Environments and Mechanisms for Human-Human Stigmergy, 2006
[2] Cognitive Stigmergy: A Framework Based on Agents and Artifacts, 2006
[3] Heylighten, Accelerating socio-technological evolution, 2007: "Quantitative stigmergy is nearly identical to the process of reinforcement learning that differentially strengthens connections between neurons in the brain. Qualitative stigmergy is the true motor of innovation."
[4] Heylighen, Stigmergy as a Universal Coordination Mechanism: components, varieties and applications, 2016: "Compared to traditional methods of organization, stigmergy makes absolutely minimal demands on the agents... by coordinating initially independent actions into a harmonious whole."
[5] The Extended Mind
[6] What intelligent machines can learn from a school of fish
[7] Heather Marsh, A societal singularity: We have reached a "societal singularity" characterized as a state where "no one can understand every aspect of society which affects them" yet we have a need to "coordinate goals with people we will never speak to."
[8] Walter Benesch, “An Introduction to Comparative Philosophy.”
[9] The Attention Economy 
[10] The Attention Economy Primer
[11] Sesame Credit will (eventually) make fully automated luxury queer space anarcho-communism possible
[12] David Brin: "The combined weight of all the new surveillance technologies heading our way is a recipe for disaster, beyond Orwell’s wildest nightmares. The only way we can stop them from becoming instruments of repression is by giving everyone access to these tools so that the powerful will be stymied and held accountable, and ordinary citizens will be empowered. By answering surveillance with sousveillance. By demanding that Aadhaar report to the people more effectively than to the mighty."
[13] Alex Pentland, Reinventing Society in the Wake of Big Data: “The most efficient and robust architectures tend to be ones that have no central points. It means that there's no single place for a dictator to grab control."
[14] LeRon Shults, Artificial Intelligence Shows Why Atheism Is Unpopular: “It’s going to be done. So not doing it is not the answer.” Instead, he believes the answer is to do the work with transparency and simultaneously speak out about the ethical danger inherent in it.
[15] Inducing Peer Pressure to Promote Cooperation, 2013
[16] Morality in the Machines, "Jonathan Zittrain’s ambition for the AI initiative is immense: to democratize social media’s secret algorithms, artificial intelligence and similar technologies."
[17] Gamification and Climate Change Activism - Beneficial or Detrimental?
[18] Human computation is an approach to solving complex problems that leverages the personal informatics of normal individual behaviors to increase the effect of coordinated action. It does this by using the tools of social computation (social networks, marketplaces, fine-grained details, augmented reality, etc.) to make information about normal human behaviors available to their users. This increased information availability creates robust progress feedback loops that allow humans to select individual behaviors or characteristics for either reinforcement, interruption, alteration, (etc.)
[0] Peter Corning and Eörs Szathmáry, "Synergistic Selection": A Darwinian frame for the evolution of complexity, 2015: "...new forms of information have played a key role in the emergence of complexity at every level, from DNA coding sequences in the genome to pheromone “signals” in social insects, the evolution of language in humankind, and (now) the binary/digital code of the internet age."

Additional Sources:
Big Idea: Attention Economy
Daniel Estrada on Bruce Sterling’s “The Caryatids” As a Model for the Attention Economy
Vivek Singh, Ankur Mani, and Alex (Sandy) Pentland, Social Persuasion in Online and Physical Networks
Daniel Estrada, Rethinking Machines: Artificial Intelligence beyond the Philosophy of Mind (The central issue in human computation concerns the integration of human brains into a general computing architecture that allows for efficient and useful results when applied to challenging computational tasks. How do we attract and sustain the attention of multiple agents, and under what conditions do they perform well?)
Social Norms: Social Identity, (how social identities and relationships motivate choices and actions)
Daniel Estrada's Polytopolis: A distributed framework for organizing communities and values (inspired by the psychology of social identity and collective behavior).
Patchwork theory
Heather Marsh, Inteligencia Colectiva para la Democracia (video presentation)
Heather Marsh, The evolution of democracy (transcript of above presentation)
Stigmergic epistemology, stigmergic cognition, 2007
A Brief History of Stigmergy
Stigmergic Collaboration: A Theoretical Framework for Mass Collaboration, 2007
Kosorukoff, A., Goldberg D. E. “Evolutionary computation as a form of social organization
Introduction to Human Computation
Jane McGonigal “Reality Is Broken: Why Games Make Us Better and How They Can Change the World”
Climate Change? There’s a Game For That
Gamification for health and wellbeing: A systematic review of the literature (persuasive technology, serious games, and personal informatics; game design elements can be mapped to established behavior change techniques; like personal informatics, gamification tracks of individual behaviors, displayed to the user, enrolled in some form of goal-setting and progress feedback)
Gamification: An Introduction to Its Potential (human based computation game) Game mechanics and dynamics tap into fundamental human needs and desires, such as the desire for reward, status, achievement, self-expression, self-efficacy, competition, and altruism, among others. Intrinsically rewarding activities can be enhanced with gamified elements (and access to greater information and new forms of social interaction), potentially accelerating real-world change on an individual, social, and global scale.
Hive-mind solves tasks using Google Glass ant game
New game creates a hive mind out of Google Glass users

Monday, September 10, 2018

Gedanken Experiment

Democritus (430-380 BC) said "I would rather discover one causal relation than be King of Persia." Was he just being an eccentric philosopher, devoted to knowledge for its own sake? Or did he realize that an understanding of causal relations has myriad possible applications, and such a discovery could make him even more powerful than the most powerful person on Earth at the time? ...I think it was a little of both.

David Hume (1711-1776) distinguished between analytic claims (the product of thoughts) and empirical claims (matters of fact), classifying causal claims as empirical rather than analytic. He identified the source of all empirical claims with human experience, namely, sensory input.

Albert Einstein (1879-1955) said "Development of Western science is based on two great achievements: The invention of the formal logical system (in Euclidean geometry) by the Greek philosophers, and the discovery of the possibility to find out causal relationships by systemic experiment (during the Renaissance)."

Judea Pearl (1936- ) said "I am convinced that the entire story of causality unfolds from just three basic principles: (1) causation encodes behavior under interventions, (2) interventions are surgeries on mechanisms, and (3) mechanisms are stable functional relationships." In assessing our current position in relation to Einstein's quote, Pearl states that while the observational component of science has benefited from the power of formal methods, the design of new experiments is still managed by the unaided human intellect. But, when experimental science enjoys the benefit of formal mathematics along with its observational component, another scientific revolution will occur that will be equal in impact to the one that took place during the Renaissance. And AI will be the major player in this revolution.

When considering counterfactuals and digital models (essentially two sides of the same coin), the greatest agency to effect change (according to one's goals and abilities) will lay with whomever has a better understanding of mechanisms, causal relationships, and possible interventions. This is the takeaway message from Judea Pearl, and ties in considerably with Pedro Domingos and David Brin as well.

What I really believe, and what I am confident Democritus did as well, is that aside from the erudite novelty and numerous applications of a causal understanding, the greatest benefit of all is that it can bring the beauty and wonder of the world around us into clearer focus. And that is likely what motivated him most of all.

Source: Reasoning with Cause and Effect, by Judea Pearl

Friday, August 24, 2018

The Social Landscape

“The mind may be compared to a pan of water. If you place the pan on a level and do not jar it, then the heavy sediment will settle to the bottom and the clear water will collect on top, so that you can see your beard and eyebrows in it and examine the lines of your face.“ - Xunxi
In Freud's letter to Einstein in 1932, he said that human instincts are of two kinds: those that conserve and unify, and those that destroy and kill. The well known Love and Hate, attraction and repulsion. But he was quick to add that they are not good and evil, as "each is as indispensable as its opposite, and all the phenomena of life derive from their activity, whether they work in concert or in opposition." He went on: "If the propensity for war be due to the destructive instinct, we have always its counter-agent... All that produces ties of sentiment between man and man must serve us as war’s antidote... All that brings out the significant resemblances between men calls into play this feeling of community, identification, whereon is founded, in large measure, the whole edifice of human society." 

I'm reflecting on these polar tendencies in the context of computational social science, the result of the work of people like Alan Turing, Judea Pearl, Alex Pentland, Molly Crocket, and Radhika Nagpal (to name but a few). Pentland, for example, focused on social networks in his paper on promoting cooperation. One might say that these researchers are trying to map out the "social landscape" (to contrast with Harris' book The Moral Landscape). In our society today, despite the current social media services available, there are many people with few meaningful connections to others, people who replace social ties with unhealthy addictions, and those who find the thrill of tearing down more appealing than the work of building up. 

In a society with many broken parts, we need to chart a clearer course toward healthy relationships. Freud made contributions in this direction (arguably some better than others). And researchers like Elinor Ostrom demonstrated that it takes a LOT of documentation from history and ethnography, not just formal models. Now, combining detailed data with new analytic tools has created the potential today to extend that effort still further. For example, Iyad Rahwan described an algorithmic social contract. 

In "Rise of the Machines: A Cybernetic History" author Thomas Rid devotes a chapter to one of the interesting and less well known results of the social upheaval that occurred in the '60s and '70s. The psychedelic counterculture incorporated cybernetic ideas, which profoundly affected people like Kevin Kelly and Stewart Brand (of the Whole Earth Catalog) and influenced many who later became Silicon Valley innovators. Is there any similarity between John Lennon's idealistic lyrics in "Imagine" and a hypothetical algorithm for world peace, or as Freud said in his letter, "a formula for an indirect method of eliminating war?" They all draw their influences from the same cultural trends.

Cultural Genesis and Evolution

Melvin Kranzberg's first law of technology states: "Technology is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral." I propose a parallel law: "Culture is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral." There isn't perfect symmetry here though, since culture includes all of technology but technology doesn't include all of culture. The relationship between the two is very strong nonetheless, and will only increase. Technology has a growing influence on society, some aspects of which are obvious, others are nearly imperceptible, but all contribute to shaping our choices and actions. This much is generally well recognized. The implication is that if you control these influences, you can steer the future course of events in the direction of your choosing. This fact isn't as well appreciated, but the potential for direct and often invisible influence at the level of entire societies isn't new. Religious and political propaganda has been around for a very long time, directing cultural evolution into new directions. It was new technology that enabled the first revolution in agriculture about 12,500 years ago, directly precipitating large demographic and cultural shifts. What cultural changes will our new cognitive tools precipitate?

We need to reopen the conversation about what it means to create our culture. Who shapes it? Who benefits from it? Why? How could this change? As Noah Yuval Harari identified in his book Homo Deus, our accelerating ability to shape our environment, ourselves, and our societies brings with it a responsibility to do so intelligently. We are cultural engineers, whether we like it or not. We debate this today in the religious and political arenas, but there's more to it.

Cultural evolution is open-ended. Where could it go? If we wanted to take it somewhere, how would we do that? We know there are many wrong ways to intervene. The more interesting question is then: Is there a right way to intervene, to take our culture in the direction that leads toward human flourishing? It would have to be transparent, democratic, and meet the ethical standards society agrees upon. If such intervention is possible, what forms might it take? This is the exercise in generating scenarios. We've done that. The things we haven't done: 1) generate all the possible scenarios, 2) generate any single scenario in the fine-grained detail needed to show how it would impact the daily activities of any given individual. For example, if I wanted to ask "How would your scenario for a sustainable future impact my life?" Would I get a broad brush response, or would I get the details I'm most interested in? Would it reflect a new culture, and would I be receptive to making any changes if I knew what they were? For example, what are the socially sanctioned "default behaviors" when confronted by stress? What options does our culture first suggest? Find a distraction, consume food or entertainment, or respond constructively? A change in default behavior patterns that reflects a more constructive approach to stress and problem solving would require a society configured around supporting and encouraging these changes, not just in it's media and public discourse, but the social and material culture as well.

While it is true that many possible scenarios may lead to further entrenchment of bad policies, there remain open avenues to a more prosperous future. A lot of this comes down to communication and information availability, and so far, persuasion tactics based on the truth haven't been nearly as successful as those based on fictions. People need information that communicates the reality of their situation, and we haven't always succeeded there. From a social epidemiologist's point of view, many people are living in unhealthy conditions, in the broadest sense of that term. We need to move beyond the standard measurements of social outcomes and into measuring individual outcomes. The first question any voter asks is "How will this affect me?" That being the case, we should be able to tell them, and in as much detail as they want. If we can do that, then maybe we can also tell them how it will affect their community, region, state, international relations, and planetary health (within certain confidence levels). That's the direction in which we are headed. This is the potential of fine-grained data paired with counterfactual thinking to connect the dots in a new way, to reveal a more attractive future than the current local policies, operating procedures, and cultural context is able to permit.

A Beautiful Landscape: "taking no action contrary to nature," or "why wu wei?" (life, culture, aesthetics)
“Broad ways are extremely even, but people are fond of bypaths.” - TTC 53
Peter Corning said that "life is a process with a purpose" (teleonomy), and that purpose is our collective survival enterprise. Does our aesthetic sense mediate our relationship to that purpose? If Barry Lord was right that the kind of art you make and value reflects your culture, then will our culture reflect the kind of art we make and value? Seigen Ishin implied there are two kinds of people who see "mountains as mountains, and waters as waters," the naïve and the wise. And Karl Schroeder said "any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from nature." All of this, taken together, would seem to reinforce the view that we should take nature as our inspiration.

It is interesting to note that, in the Mūlamadhyamakakārikā, Nagarjuna uses the theory of "dependent arising" (pratitya-samutpada) to demonstrate the futility of metaphysical speculations, that things are neither empty nor not empty. Contrast this with the concept of non-action (wu wei), which is used to demonstrate that one should act without undue effort and let nature take it's course. This illustrates the characteristic difference in emphasis between early philosophical thought in India and China, the first focusing on the nature of reality and knowledge, and the second concerning the nature of embodied processes and subjective awareness. As we consider our unfolding cultural evolution, indirectly influencing factors such as these will play a role. The aesthetic qualities rooted in our early past can help guide our future course toward a culture that prioritizes health and adaptability.

Natural, Artifactual, Coevolutionary: Algorithmic art, a narrow application of natural aesthetics to factors influencing our social landscape and evolution
“Die jetzt aufgezeigte Handlung ist thetisch, antithetisch und synthetisch zugleich." - Johann Fichte
Architecture is considered a form of art. Why? After all, a building needs to provide some kind of shelter from the elements, but it doesn't need to be especially beautiful. Yet we all admit that some buildings are better looking than others. In like manner, I want to suggest we should view the coding for computer algorithms like architecture. In their basic design, they are just a functional scaffolding, but because of the social settings in which they perform their function, and the end result, there are several examples of algorithms that I believe can be considered genuinely beautiful.

The first example is Origamizer, an algorithm created by Erik Demaine and Tomohiro Tachi that can tell you how to fold a 2 dimensional sheet of paper into any 3 dimensional origami polyhedron. You read that right, ANY polyhedron. Want a paper rabbit? No problem. And now this algorithm is freely available as computer software.

The second example is Impartial Automatic Redistricting, an algorithm created by Brian Olson, a software engineer in Massachusetts, that can create "optimally compact" congressional districts in each state. Algorithm-based districts make so much intuitive sense that there are now many ways to generate them, like Wendy Cho's algorithm, which can do more or less the same thing.

Both of these examples may not be as iconic as the Taj Mahal in India or Sagrada Familia in Barcelona, but I think they qualify as the computer code equivalent of beautiful architecture. And they deserve wider recognition. Perhaps some day we'll have a phylogeny of algorithms, which will be displayed in museum collections or the equivalent of zoological gardens. Or maybe, in some sense (per Noah Harari) we already do.

Digital alter egos and the interpersonal utility comparison problem
"Behavior is the mirror in which everyone shows their image." - Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
A digital alter ego exists for each one of us, and these are engaged in countless virtual evaluations, product pairings, and scenarios to optimize our engagement with other people, service providers, etc. These digital models can also aid in confronting global issues. Here's how they can help us realize our values and aesthetic sense. Also referred to as a "digital double," they explore many "what if" scenarios that we are prevented from investigating in full due to limited time and resources. Often only one of these scenarios can ever become real. The overwhelming majority of them are destined to become unrealized counterfactual possibilities. Think of them as the latent potential that we only have fleeting glimpses of in the normal course of our lives. Some of this potential is the ability to realize, more fully than we do today, an environmentally and ethically responsible way of life that conforms to our aesthetic aspirations.

At this point I hear several objections. "Since we already have an understanding of our goals for social and environmental health, why do we need a digital alter ego to suggest scenarios we already want? And furthermore, if our so-called "leader/decision-makers" can't hear the smartest among us (scientists) why would they listen to digital doubles?" Because, as Pedro Domingos and other AI researchers suggest, a digital double would know you better than anyone else. At the upper limit, it would know you better than you know yourself. Consequently, if it can’t persuade you, nobody can. By comparison, a scientist is hardly persuasive to those who are opposed, on ideological or tribalistic grounds, to the basic assumptions or conclusions offered. This is the big obstacle to effective science communication: bridging the empathy gap, solving the interpersonal utility comparison problem. A digital double could be the perfect device for finding a common language to unite groups at opposing ends of the political divide. By exploring all counterfactual possibilities, a better consensus can be reached, and in less time. With further iterations, these benefits become multiplicative. Here's Domingos describing this future trend that we are already witnessing:
"The next decade is going to be one of accelerating change. Today each company has a little model of you based on just the sliver of your data that it has access to. Netflix has a model to predict your movie tastes based on your movie ratings. Amazon has a model to predict what you're going to buy based on what you've done on their site and so on. But all these little models are quickly coalescing into bigger and bigger ones and soon you'll have a complete 360 degree model of you that learns from all your data and assists you with everything that you're doing in your life, from buying things and making appointments to finding a job or a mate. Our "digital alter egos" will be even more indispensable to us than our smartphones, and the world economy will revolve around them. 

"Our society will become a society of models. Everyone's models will be continually collaborating, competing, and negotiating in cyberspace to determine what happens in the real world. You click on the "find me a job" button on LinkedIn and your model instantly interviews for all the open positions that match your specs at the same time. Another copy of your model can be looking for a car for you, exhaustively researching all the options and haggling with the car dealer so you don't have to. If you're looking for a date your model will go on millions of dates with thousands of other people's models and select the most promising ones to try out in the real world. 

"But your data, and your model, have to be under your control, not owned by some third party that may have a conflict of interest. Sergey Brin says that Google wants to be the third half of your brain, but do you really want part of your brain constantly trying to show you ads? Probably not. We need something different, maybe something like data banks that store your data and use it on your behalf in the same way that regular banks store and invest your money, or maybe we need data unions to even the balance of power between us and large companies in the same way that labor unions even the balance of power between workers and their bosses. And you need to be able to interact with your model, setting its goals, asking it to justify suggestions, telling it where it went wrong and why. All very different from the black boxes that we have today. And finally, as a society we're going to have to decide what kind of society of models we want to have. What's allowed, what's not, how do we make sure that everyone benefits, how do we smooth the transition? There is lots to figure out. If we do there's a bright future where our lives will be happier and more productive. If we don't it'll be a huge missed opportunity. It's in our hands."
Our digital models, imitating our individual lives as they do, will reflect both the good and less desirable aspects of our human nature. But just as when we see our faces in a mirror we have the ability to style our appearance to our liking, when we see our behaviors reflected in these computational models, we will have the ability to reinforce those behaviors that promote our common good, and exert greater restraint over those that detract from it.

Partial list of terms:  
無常 (Japanese: mujō, Pali: anicca) meaning: transience, impermanence.
物の哀れ (Japanese: mononoaware) meaning: the pathos of things, an awareness of ephemerality. (Compare with lacrimae rerum, weltschmerz)
侘寂 (Japanese: wabisabi) meaning: traditional Japanese aesthetics - beauty that is "imperfect, impermanent, and incomplete."
無為 (Chinese: wúwéi, Japanese: mui) meaning: non-action
無為而無不為 or 无为而无不为 (Chinese: wúwéi ér wúbù wéi) meaning: "No action is undertaken, and yet nothing is left undone." Tao Te Ching, chapter 37 and 48.
無用の用 (Japanese: muyonoyo) meaning: “without use's use." Zhuangzi's short parables about the use of the useless (Carpenter Shih, Crippled Shu)
もったいない (Japanese: mottainai) meaning: "Do not destroy (or lay waste to) that which is worthy."
道 (Chinese: tao) meaning: As a way of life, it denotes simplicity, spontaneity, tranquility, weakness, and non-action (wúwéi). “Reversion is the action of Tao.”

Additional reading:
Semi-artificial Photosynthesis
Get Ready for your Digital Model by Pedro Domingos

Monday, August 20, 2018

Causality, Counterfactuals, and Possible Worlds

Source: xkcd
A Causal Revolution has spread like a chain of firecrackers from one discipline to the next: epidemiology, psychology, genetics, ecology, climate science, and so on... With every passing year I see a greater and greater willingness among scientists to speak and write about causes and effects, not with apologies and downcast eyes but with confidence and assertiveness.”
- Judea Pearl, "The Book of Why" (2018)

"Philosophy begins in wonder."
- Socrates
The pursuit of a better future for ourselves and our children begins with asking "Can we do better?" and furthermore, "Could we have done better, had we acted differently?" To both these questions, we must answer in the affirmative. That being the case, I believe we cannot avoid following up with "Why?" According to Judea Pearl, the prototypical "Why?" question is actually a counterfactual question in disguise.

People often imagine how things might have turned out differently "if only." But can counterfactual claims be true? Neil Sinhababu said this question about "possible worlds" is one of the hardest problems in philosophy. Nonetheless, "counterfacutal history," not to be confused with "alternative history" or "historical revisionism" (which has separate popular and academic meanings) can yeild important insights. For example, consider that following the election of President Trump, a lot of people who were disappointed in this outcome were asking "Why?" If Bernie Sanders had won the 2016 presidential primary, would Trump have been elected? If James Comey had not announced his investigation into Hillary's emails just 11 days before the election, would Trump still have won? Of course, we all know that such counterfactual scenarios did not occur, but it's hard not to wonder how things might have turned out differently.

Or consider that in the course of WWII, Alan Turing played a pivotal role in cracking intercepted coded messages that enabled the Allies to defeat the Nazis in many crucial engagements. Counterfactual history is difficult with respect to the effect Ultra intelligence had on the length of the war, but at the upper end it has been estimated that this work shortened the war in Europe by more than two years and saved over fourteen million lives.

A useful analogy is that counterfactual research in history is like chess. Each new move opens up the possibility for roughly thirty-eight times as many positions in the branching tree of analysis. We can ask: What are the most promising "moves?" How might the interaction of these counterfactuals and existing context play out? What is the logic connecting antecedent and consequent and the assumptions on which chains of causation are based? Supercomputers are routinely used to conduct counterfactual simulations in the sciences, where there can be multiple interactions at every move, and the chains set in motion interact with one another simultaneously and continually. (Richard Ned Lebow, "Counterfactual thought experiments: A necessary teaching tool")

Isaiah Berlin (Virtual History by Niall Ferguson)
Another great opportunity to ask some important "what if?" questions is suggested by Hanna Rosin, the author of "The End of Men: And The Rise of Women," where she chronicles the economic and cultural shifts that are upending male dominance. In a recent interview she said "Every time you have forward motion economically, any kind of progress for women, it's accompanied by a giant tidal wave of cultural backlash. And that's exactly the moment we're in right now." So let's ask: What if male dominance is upended? Ensuring women can enjoy the same rights and privileges as men is essential to our future. And yes, that will affect many cultural institutions, including marriage and child-rearing practices. Can we find a healthier response to this forward motion than the socially damaging cultural backlash we see now?

Would a better understanding of social physics and especially cause-and-effect relationships lead to the development of a Fair Society (as outlined in Peter Corning's book of the same name)? Consequentialist ethical theories posit that the consequences of actions should be the primary focus, so it would seem obvious that a clearer view of how cause and effect operates, at both very small and very large scales of space and time, could have significant ethical implications. If Judea Pearl is right when he claims a "causal revolution" has begun, this knowledge may force us to choose whether we will squarely face the ethical dilemmas that confront us, or renege on our responsibility to act given what we know. If we choose the later, our inaction will be rationalized away using the psychological acrobatics of self deception. But if we choose confrontation, it will be because our cumulative cultural evolution is open-ended and able to advance in spite of our individual limitations.

Visions of a better future, whether utopian or merely incremental, always address social problems, and, after the start of the Industrial Revolution these invariably include environmental problems as well. In so doing, we assume the ability to diagnosis our problems and prescribe an appropriate course of treatment. This descriptive/prescriptive dynamic is either explicit or implied. In this light, the fear of an apocalyptic dystopia is just as often the fear of human incompetence in diagnosis and treatment, as often as it is the fear of truly malign forces at work. This should serve to underscore the importance of understanding causal processes.

Our ability to gather information about the world around us, inquire how causal relationships change, and to intervene so we can change our behavior patterns, is critical. None of the answers to a question contain the possibility of asking the question in the first place, as my former philosophy professor, Dr. Benesch, was fond of saying. Scenarios that consider "what if?" questions are useful for both the possibilities and the insights they suggest, but they cannot simply suggest themselves. This is why the ability to ask the "what if?" and "why?" questions is so important. We need more counterfactual thinking today more than at any time in our past. The causal revolution hasn't arrived a moment too late.

Postscript:

Sewall Wright
The possibility of asking questions seems to assume subjective awareness, which seems to assume time asymmetry and therefore causality. If our subjective experience of time was symmetrical (no arrow of time) then the explanatory tool of causation, and the concepts of free will, agency, and intervention would likely be incomprehensible. But because we cannot see the future, the concept of causation is our primary tool to help bring it into focus. Causality is therefore the means, and understanding is the goal. Hence, if some procedure other than causality were discovered that could provide a greater means for understanding the interaction among variable factors across spatial and temporal scales, then that would be used in its place. As Newtonian physics is to general relativity, perhaps causation is to this as yet undiscovered means.

A few unresolved problems remain for me: 1) in the presence of synergistic effects, it may be impossible to perform meaningful causal analysis, and 2) depending on deterministic factors, we may need to reconceptualize our notion of how change occurs - intervention may only be described completely as a property of an entire system, not any single agent within that system.

"Causal inference may be superfluous in some idealised, superhuman version of physics, but if you actually want to find out how the Universe works, it is vital. ...But this doesn’t mean we must believe in a richly metaphysical idea of causal powers, ‘producing’ or ‘bringing about’ causal regularities like muscular enforcers of the laws of nature. We still see only the patterns, the constant conjunctions of different sorts of event."
- Mathias Frisch

But I can't neglect to mention the relationship between causality and feedback (cybernetics), and how that in turn relates to social networks and Alex Pentland's hope to have a transformative impact on our understanding of the dynamics of human society and our ability to plan for the future. And after all, causality and teleonomy may both be inherent biological qualities:

"Cognition is heavily grounded in space. As animals that move in space, we travel both physically and mentally in space and time, reliving past events, imagining future ones, and even constructing imaginary scenarios that play out in stories. Mental exploration of space is extraordinarily flexible, allowing us to zoom, adopt different vantage points, mentally rotate, and attach objects and sense impressions to create events, whether remembered, planned, or simply invented."
- Michael Corballis, "Space, time, and language"

My former history professor, Dr. Cole, identified the importance of looking to the future without being held in the past, a specific reference to The Pattern Problem. “In one sense, I feel sorry for younger people today because they’re trapped by the inability to reinvent themselves, free of the burdens of the past. People who know the past are stuck in it because they love repeating it,” Cole said. “This may sound odd to you, coming from a history professor, but I think history is a trap for many people.” ...You can escape that trap with counterfactual thinking.

Sourced quotes: 

"The ability to reflect on one's past actions and envision alternative scenarios is the basis of free will and social responsibility. Counterfactuals are at the core of the cognitive advances that made us human and the imaginative abilities that have made science possible. ...The rewards of having a causal model that can answer counterfactual questions are immense. Finding out why a blunder occurred allows us to take the right corrective measures in the future. ...The advantage we gained from imagining counterfactuals was the same then as it is today: flexibility, the ability to reflect on and improve upon past actions and, perhaps even more significant, our willingness to take responsibility for past and current actions."
- Judea Pearl, "The Book of Why" (2018)

"The survival of the fittest is a slow method for measuring advantages. The experimenter, by the exercise of intelligence, should be able to speed it up. ...If he can trace a cause for some weakness he can probably think of the kind of mutation which will improve it."
- Alan Turing, “Computing Machinery and Intelligence”(1950)

"We may define a cause to be... if the first object had not been, the second never had existed."
- David Hume (1748)

"Evolutionary events weren't destined to occur in the way that they did..."
- Stephen Jay Gould (1989)